The Effect of Labor Market Conditions on Enrollment Rate in Iran’s Distance Universities: A Case Study of Payame Noor University

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

Department of Educational Sciences, Faculty of Education, Payam-e- Noor University, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

Background: Education, labor market, and social behaviors of young people are among the key factors in a country's scientific and administrative policy making. The level of public knowledge and the skills of specialists in all sectors of a national economy are the determinants of successful development. This study aims to identify the most crucial labor market conditions affecting students’ enrollment at Payame Noor University (PNU) in Iran. Methods: To fulfil the research objectives, the data were analyzed using a qualitative method (content analysis). At first, the indicators and variables were extracted using Delphi method and document examination, and then these indicators were distributed among 15 professors of higher education, economics, and social sciences to be reviewed and corrected. The required data were collected from the Statistical Center of Iran, Ministry of ‘Cooperatives, Labor and Social Welfare’ and the Center for Statistics at PNU. The Ordinary Least Square regression model (OLS) was used to analyze the data collected from undergraduate students attending the PNU courses between 2001-2014. Results: The OLS results showed that the total labor force (Beta=2.824, P=0.017) and high school workforce population (Beta=0.399, P=0.007) had a positive and significant effect on student enrollment at PNU. The number of industrial workshops (Beta=-0.078, P=0.649) had a negative impact on student enrollment at PNU. Conclusions: The total labor force and high school workforce population had a significant impact on student enrollment at PNU. Therefore, strategic planners in open and distance universities should consider the market conditions in their academic strategies. The policy makers at Payame Noor University should focus their plans on the areas that appeal to all high school graduates. Also, they need to provide training opportunities for the people already working in the industrial sector.

Keywords


Armstrong D.F; Nunley C.W. Enrollment projection within a decision-making framework. The journal of higher education. 1981; Vol, 52. No, 3. Pp, 295-309. Doi: 10.2307/1981037
Hoenack S.A; Weiler W.C. The demand for higher education and institutional enrollment forecasting. Economic inquiry. 1979; Vol, XVII. Doi: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.1979.tb00297.x
Strickland D.C; Bonomo V.A; McLaughlin G.W; Montgomery J.R; Mahan B.T. Effect of social and economic factors on four-year higher-education enrollments in Virginia. Research in higher education. 1984; Vol, 20. No, 1. Doi: 10.1007/bf00992034
Betts J.R; McFarland L.L. Safe port in a storm: The impact of labor market conditions on community college enrollments. The journal of human resources. 1995; Vol, 30. No, 4. Pp. 741-765. Doi: 10.2307/146230
Hsing Y; Chang H.S. Testing increasing sensitivity of enrollment at private institutions to tuition and other costs. The American economist. 1996; Vol, 40. No, 1. Pp. 40-45. Doi: 10.1177/056943459604000106
Hillman N.W; Orians E.L. Community colleges and labor market conditions: How does enrollment demand change relative to local unemployment rates? Res High Educ. 2013;Doi 10.1007/s11162-013-9294-7
Konstantinovskii D.L; Popova E.S. Youth, the labor market, and the expansion of higher education. Sociological Research. 2016; Vol, 55. No,4. Pp, 245-261. Doi: 10.1080/10610154.2016.1264193
Kolesnikova J. Kamasheva A. Fakhrutdinova A. Higher education demands of the labor market. Procedia-Social and behavioral Sciences. 2015; 191-1183-1186. Doi: 10.1016/j.sbspro.2015.04.446.
Pacurariu, G. The integration of higher education graduates on the labor market. 2019; Vol, 12. No, 19. Doi: 10.1515/eras-2019-0008.
Jackson D, Tomlinson M. Investigating the relationship between career planning, proactivity and employability perceptions among higher education students in uncertain labour market condotions. Higher education. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10734-019-00490-5.
Dorazzi N. The political economy of high skills: higher education in knowledge-based labour markets. Journal of European public policy. 2018. https://doi.org/10.1080/13501763.2018.1551415
Tavares O. The role of students' employability perceptions on Portuguese higher education choices. Journal of education and work. 2016. https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13639080.2015.1122180.
Donald W E, Ashleigh M J, Baruch Y. Students' perceptions of education and employability: facilitating career transition from higher education into the labor market. Career development international. 2018; Vol,23. No, 5. Pp 513-540. Doi: 10.1108/CDI-09-2017-0171.
Boccanfuso D, Larouche A, Trandafir M. Quality of higher education and labor market in developing countries: evidence from an education reform in Senegal. World development. 2015; Vol, 74. Pp 412-424. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.05.007.
Okolie U Ch, Nwosu H E, Mlanga S. Graduate employability: How the higher education institutions can meet the demand of the labour market. Higher education, skills and work-based learning. 2019. https://doi.org/10.1108/HESWBL-09-2018-0089.
Franco M, Silver R, Rodrigues M. Partnerships between higher education institutions and firms: the role of students' curricular internships. Industry and higher education. 2019. 1-14. Doi: 10.1177/0950422218819638.  
Agyeman Y O, Malherbe M F. Work force development and higher education in Ghana: A symmetrical relationship between industry and higher education institutions. Industry and higher education. 2019.1-14. Doi:10.1177/0950422219875000.
Aracil A G, Monteiro S, Almeida L S. Students' perceptions of their preparedness for transition to work after graduation. Active learning in higher education. 2018. 1-14. Doi:10.1177/1469787418791026.
Bagiatis Ch, Saiti A, Chletsos M. Entrepreneurship, economic crisis, and the role of higher education: evidence from Greece. Industry and higher education. 2019.1-13. Doi:10.1177/0950422219883832.
Davey T, Hannon P, Penaluna A. Entrepreneurship education and the role of universities in entrepreneurship: introduction to the special issue. Industry and higher education. 2016; Vol, 30(3). 171-182. Doi:10.1177/0950422216656699.
Neugebauer M. Who chooses teaching under different labor market conditions? Evidence from West Germany, 1980-2009. Teaching and teacher education. 2015; 45. 137-148. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tate.2014.10.004.
Reimer D. Labour market outcomes and their impact on tertiary decisions in Germany: class and gender differences. Irish educational studies. 2011; Vol, 30. No, 2. June, 199-213. Doi:10.1080/03323315.2011.569141.  
Oppedisano V. Higher education expansion and unskilled labour market. Economics of Education Review. 2014; 40. 205-220. http://dx.doi.org110.1016/j.econedurev.2014.03.005
Albert C. Higher education demand in Spain: the influence of labour market signals and family background. Higher Education. 2000; 40: 147-162. Doi: 10.1023/a:1004070925581
Varga J. The role of labour market expectations and admission probabilities in students' application decision on higher education: The case of Hungray. Education Econimics. 2006; Vol,14. No, 3. 309-327. Doi: 10.1080/09645290600777535
Ministry of Science, Research and Technology of Iran. Employment Graduation Monitoring Plan for Universities.2018. Web site: industry.msrt.ir
Sadeghi S, Erfanmanesh I. Methodological foundations of documentary research in the social sciences. Case study: The effects of modernization on the Iranian family. Culture strategy. 2015; 8(29). 61-91. www.jsfc.ir/40713942903.pdf
Farajollahi M, Shayestehfar A, Saeidipour B, Taleebi S. The role of economic factors in the growth and development of human resources in open and distance universities of Iran. Interdiscip J virtual learn Med Sci. 2018; 9(2): doi: 10.5812/ijvlms.66776